摘要技术机会识别已成为推动科技创新的重要手段,区域则是创新资源集聚与技术应用落地的关键空间单元。区域技术机会的准确识别,有利于提升区域科技规划能力,推动区域技术创新。本文提出一种面向区域的技术机会识别方法,以专利引用科学文献为依据,建立科学与技术之间的关联关系,构建科学-技术双层网络,设计基于GraphSAGE(graph sample and aggregate)的SAGE-TSN(SAGE for Tech-Sci network)模型,深度融合技术节点的区域特征与全域特征、科学特征和技术特征,以此构建链接预测方法,实现对区域技术机会的精准预测。实验结果表明,本文方法在准确率、召回率等指标上显著优于多种基准模型,识别出的机会具备较高的活跃度与重要性;有效提高了区域技术机会识别的准确性和区域适应性,展现出良好的应用潜力与推广前景。
白光永, 毛进, 白云, 李纲. 基于科学-技术双层网络的区域技术机会识别方法研究[J]. 情报学报, 2026, 45(4): 566-578.
Bai Guangyong, Mao Jin, Bai Yun, Li Gang. Method for Identifying Regional Technological Opportunities Based on Science-Technology Multilayer Network. 情报学报, 2026, 45(4): 566-578.
1 中国社会科学院工业经济研究所课题组. “十四五”时期我国区域创新体系建设的重点任务和政策思路[J]. 经济管理, 2020, 42(8): 5-16. 2 刘婷, 赵亚娟. 技术机会识别研究综述与展望[J]. 农业图书情报学报, 2023, 35(7): 4-17. 3 Choi J, Jeong B, Yoon J. Technology opportunity discovery under the dynamic change of focus technology fields: application of sequential pattern mining to patent classifications[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019, 148: 119737. 4 Seol Y, Lee S, Kim C, et al. Towards firm-specific technology opportunities: a rule-based machine learning approach to technology portfolio analysis[J]. Journal of Informetrics, 2023, 17(4): 101464. 5 Liu W W, Yao J Y, Bi K X. Exploiting the potential of invalid patents as a source of technology opportunities: evidence from CCUS technology[J]. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2024, 71: 14571-14589. 6 Cammarano A, Varriale V, Michelino F, et al. Discovering technological opportunities of cutting-edge technologies: a methodology based on literature analysis and artificial neural network[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024, 209: 123811. 7 Wang J F, Zhang Z X, Feng L J, et al. Development of technology opportunity analysis based on technology landscape by extending technology elements with BERT and TRIZ[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2023, 191: 122481. 8 Liu Z F, Feng J, Uden L. Technology opportunity analysis using hierarchical semantic networks and dual link prediction[J]. Technovation, 2023, 128: 102872. 9 Zhang R Z, Yu X, Zhang B, et al. Discovering technology opportunities of latecomers based on RGNN and patent data: the example of Huawei in self-driving vehicle industry[J]. Information Processing & Management, 2025, 62(1): 103908. 10 Chen X, Ye P F, Huang L, et al. Exploring science-technology linkages: a deep learning-empowered solution[J]. Information Processing & Management, 2023, 60(2): 103255. 11 Zheng Z J, Ma Y X, Ba Z C, et al. Tree knowledge structure for better insight: capturing biomedical science-technology knowledge linkage with MeSH[J]. Journal of Informetrics, 2024, 18(4): 101568. 12 Ba Z C, Liang Z T. A novel approach to measuring science-technology linkage: from the perspective of knowledge network coupling[J]. Journal of Informetrics, 2021, 15(3): 101167. 13 伊惠芳, 刘细文, 龙艺璇. 技术创新全视角下技术机会发现研究进展[J]. 图书情报工作, 2021, 65(7): 132-142. 14 宋红燕. 基于专利技术要素的技术机会识别研究[D]. 北京: 中国农业科学院, 2021. 15 张硕, 李荣荣. 创新过程视角下的技术机会识别: 内涵、分类与展望[J]. 科技管理研究, 2024, 44(12): 25-35. 16 Azimi S, Veisi H, Fateh-rad M, et al. Discovering associations among technologies using neural networks for tech-mining[J]. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 2022, 69(4): 1394-1404. 17 Arts S, Hou J N, Gomez J C. Natural language processing to identify the creation and impact of new technologies in patent text: code, data, and new measures[J]. Research Policy, 2021, 50(2): 104144. 18 吴洁, 刘子钰, 谢小东, 等. 考虑竞争对手技术相似性与技术能力的企业技术机会识别研究[J]. 情报杂志, 2025, 44(2): 92-100. 19 吴柯烨, 孙建军, 张力, 等. 弱链接突变视角下的技术机会识别研究[J]. 图书情报工作, 2024, 68(10): 81-96. 20 张金柱, 叶晓宇. 基于结构-功能语义关联的技术机会识别研究[J]. 情报科学, 2024 ,42(8): 164-173. 21 高雅倩. 基于SAO语义网络的技术机会识别研究[D]. 西安: 西安电子科技大学, 2023. 22 Ren H Y, Zhao Y H. Technology opportunity discovery based on constructing, evaluating, and searching knowledge networks[J]. Technovation, 2021, 101: 102196. 23 Choi J, Lee C, Yoon J. Exploring a technology ecology for technology opportunity discovery: a link prediction approach using heterogeneous knowledge graphs[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2023, 186: 122161. 24 Wang L, Li M N. An exploration method for technology forecasting that combines link prediction with graph embedding: a case study on blockchain[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024, 208: 123736. 25 Li K J, Shan T L, Wu H J, et al. Technology opportunity discovery linking artificial intelligence and construction technologies: a graph convolution network-based approach[J]. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 2024, 138: 109401. 26 Hamilton W L, Ying R, Leskovec J. Inductive representation learning on large graphs[C]// Proceedings of the 31st International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems. Red Hook: Curran Associates, 2017: 1025-1035. 27 Motohashi K, Zhu C. Identifying technology opportunity using dual-attention model and technology-market concordance matrix[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2023, 197: 122916. 28 Choi K H, Kwon G H. Strategies for sensing innovation opportunities in smart grids: in the perspective of interactive relationships between science, technology, and business[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2023, 187: 122210. 29 Lee M, Kim S, Kim H, et al. Technology opportunity discovery using deep learning-based text mining and a knowledge graph[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2022, 180: 121718. 30 Yu D J, Yan Z P. Combining machine learning and main path analysis to identify research front: from the perspective of science-technology linkage[J]. Scientometrics, 2022, 127(7): 4251-4274. 31 Li X, Xie Q Q, Daim T, et al. Forecasting technology trends using text mining of the gaps between science and technology: the case of perovskite solar cell technology[J]. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019, 146: 432-449. 32 Verhoeven D, Bakker J, Veugelers R. Measuring technological novelty with patent-based indicators[J]. Research Policy, 2016, 45(3): 707-723. 33 Xiao L Z, Wu X K, Wang G Z. Social network analysis based on graph SAGE[C]// Proceedings of the 12th International Symposium on Computational Intelligence and Design. Piscataway: IEEE, 2019: 196-199. 34 Priem J, Piwowar H, Orr R. OpenAlex: a fully-open index of scholarly works, authors, venues, institutions, and concepts[C]// Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on Science and Technology Indicators. Geneva: Zenodo, 2022. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.6936227. 35 da Silva Ruffo V G, Brand?o Lent D M, Komarchesqui M, et al. Anomaly and intrusion detection using deep learning for software-defined networks: a survey[J]. Expert Systems with Applications, 2024, 256: 124982.