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| Diffusion Features of Disruptive Technology from the Life Cycle Perspective |
| Wang Chao1,2, Ma Ming3, Wang Haiyan4, Xia Dong5, Xu Haiyun1 |
1.Business School, Shandong University of Technology, Zibo 255000
2.Information Research Institute, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250014
3.Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250014
4.Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China, Beijing 100038
5.Chengdu Library and Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041 |
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Abstract The identification of proliferation features of disruptive technologies is greatly significant in identifying potentially disruptive technologies. Based on the technology diffusion theory proposed by E. M. Rogers, we construct a research framework for the diffusion of disruptive technological innovation from the life cycle perspective, and conduct research on the features of disruptive technological diffusion using bibliometric and altmetrics indicators. First, through a large-scale survey, we obtain the disruptive technology list in which all technologies are unanimously recognized by the government, industry, and academia. Next, using bibliometric and altmetrics methods, we explore the diffusion features of disruptive technological innovation from the perspective of the technology life cycle. Finally, five key diffusion features of disruptive technology are obtained, including the cycle, diffusion rate, diffusion hysteresis, diffusion disorder, and diffusion dominance. This study provides new insights for exploring the features and patterns of disruptive technological innovation and support the selection of potential disruptive technologies.
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Received: 09 November 2021
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