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| Review of Disruptive Technologies Identification Method Based on Deductive and Inductive Logic Perspectives |
| Zhou Bo1,2, Leng Fuhai2 |
1.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190
2.Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190 |
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Abstract With the increasingly fierce competition and highly complex development of technologies around the world, the disruptive technologies identification method is receiving increasing attention from governments and the enterprises. In this study, disruptive technologies identification methods are widely analyzed. Two different perspectives, deductive and inductive logic, were identified. The identification methods were classified and reviewed based on the two perspectives, and the two perspectives were compared from four aspects, which are the research premises, research data, preciseness of research conclusions, and research processes. The advantages and disadvantages of the identification methods based on the two perspectives have been summarized, and finally, this paper presents a preliminary prospect for further research on the identification methods of disruptive technologies based on these two perspectives. This paper aims to provide a reference for the research of disruptive technologies identification methods in the future by comparing the research of disruptive technologies identification methods based on the two perspectives.
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Received: 15 November 2021
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