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| Technology Genealogy Construction and Innovation Path Identification Based on Multi-granularity Semantic Computing |
| Yang Jinqing1, Luo Xingyu1, Xiong Bingqiao2, Cao Gaohui1 |
1.School of Information Management, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079 2.Strategic Studies Institute of Hubei Yangtze Laboratory, Wuhan 430010 |
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Abstract As global technological competition intensifies and investments in research and development continue to increase, governments and investment institutions are increasingly pressured to identify novel paths that can drive technological innovation, mitigate technological uncertainty, avoid redundant efforts, and increase the output efficiency and social value of technological investments. Thus, unraveling the deep genealogical structures embedded within massive volumes of patents, clarifying the kinship among technologies, and tracing their inheritance chains are central to dispel the “technology fog” and detect “technological white spaces,” thereby facilitating the effective translation of patents and fostering industrial innovation. Building on the technological development theory, this study introduces the concept and framework of technological genealogy. First, we computed the patent similarity at the paragraph and phrase granularities. Subsequently, the optimal weighted combination of these granularities was determined by validating it against co-occurrence patterns in the international patent classification hierarchy, thereby quantifying the inheritance relationships among patents. A tree-structured technological genealogy was then constructed using patents as nodes and semantic associations as edges aligned along a temporal axis. Leveraging this genealogy, multiple types of innovation paths were identified, and the flow patterns of technological elements were revealed. Finally, an empirical analysis was conducted on 16899 patents for the B81B-007* technology in the 2.5-dimensional packaging domain. The results demonstrate that the technological genealogies exhibit complex dynamics of derivation and convergence while maintaining strong continuity. The discrete innovation paths focus on short-term advances, are highly diverse, and appear fragmented. The extended innovation paths capture the convergence and recombination of technological elements, demonstrating dynamic transitions from derivation to convergence. In addition, the sustained innovation paths span the entire timeline, forming coherent evolutionary paths, with later stages marked by iterative upgrades toward higher precision.
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Received: 13 May 2025
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