引文中辍的理论基础与实证研究

doi:10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2025.06.005

情报学报

2025, Vol. 44

Issue (6): 702-719 DOI: 10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2025.06.005

情报理论与方法

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引文中辍的理论基础与实证研究

李昊, 侯剑华, 张洋

中山大学信息管理学院，广州 510006

Theoretical Basis and Empirical Research of Citation Discontinuance

Li Hao, Hou Jianhua, Zhang Yang

School of Information Management, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510006

摘要
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摘要引文分析是追踪和评估科学知识扩散及其影响的重要方法。然而，现有研究往往只关注引文的扩散过程，而忽略了引文中辍（citation discontinuance）现象，即文献在首次被引后，在一定时期内未再被引用的情况。对该现象进行概念化与定量化研究，需要系统梳理引文中辍的理论基础，构建其分析框架。基于创新扩散理论、文献老化理论、科学范式转移理论和知识进化理论等，本文为引文中辍现象提供了理论解释，并解析了其内涵，区分了完全引文中辍、暂时引文中辍和间歇引文中辍三种类型的引文轨迹；在此基础上，设计了引文中辍的定量识别方法，并进行实证分析。本文提出的引文中辍概念，是对引文扩散持续性与非线性特征的进一步揭示，旨在为引文扩散建模提供新启示；本文构建的引文中辍分析框架，有助于科研机构和研究人员更好地理解科研成果的影响力和时效性，以期进一步增强引文分析方法与引文扩散研究对于文献生命周期管理、科学评价等实践的解释力度。

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	李昊
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关键词 ：引文中辍, 引文扩散, 引文轨迹, 科学知识扩散, 文献老化

收稿日期: 2024-09-19

基金资助:国家社会科学基金一般项目“我国基础研究的知识贡献测度研究”（24BTQ038）。

作者简介: 李昊，男，1999年生，博士研究生，主要研究领域为科学计量学；侯剑华，通信作者，男，1980年生，博士，教授，博士生导师，主要研究领域为科学学、科技信息管理，E-mail：houjh5@mail.sysu.edu.cn；张洋，男，1975年生，教授，博士生导师，主要研究领域为科学计量学、科技评价；

引用本文:

李昊, 侯剑华, 张洋. 引文中辍的理论基础与实证研究[J]. 情报学报, 2025, 44(6): 702-719.
Li Hao, Hou Jianhua, Zhang Yang. Theoretical Basis and Empirical Research of Citation Discontinuance. 情报学报, 2025, 44(6): 702-719.

链接本文:

https://qbxb.istic.ac.cn/CN/10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2025.06.005 或 https://qbxb.istic.ac.cn/CN/Y2025/V44/I6/702

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