图书情报学领域期刊论文零被引率的演变规律研究

doi:10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2018.03.002

情报学报

2018, Vol. 37

Issue (3): 243-253 DOI: 10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2018.03.002

情报理论与应用

本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索

图书情报学领域期刊论文零被引率的演变规律研究

胡泽文¹, 武夷山², 高继平³

1. 南京信息工程大学管理工程学院,南京 210044;
2. 中国科学技术发展战略研究院,北京 100038;
3. 中国科学技术信息研究所,北京 100038

Study on Time-dependent Regularity of the Percentage of Never-cited Papers in Journals from Library and Information Science Discipline

Hu Zewen¹, Wu Yishan², Gao Jiping³

1. School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044;
2. Chinese Academy of Science and Technology for Development, Beijing 100038;
3. Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (ISTIC), Beijing 100038

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摘要论文零被引率是指一个国家、机构、期刊或个人某年出版的文档集合中,在出版后的某个特定引用时间窗口中未被引文档的数量或比例。它是科学出版领域中普遍存在的一种现象,然而当前的引用分布研究文献过多地关注至少被引一次论文的引用分布情况,而对论文零被引率的演变规律关注甚少。为此,本文从国内外图书情报学领域期刊中,选取6本不同影响力期刊为研究样本,实证分析了6本期刊1990—1993各年出版的论文在出版后0~19年不同引用时间窗口中论文零被引率的时间演变规律,以及1990—2012各年论文出版后当年、三年和六年零被引率的年度变化规律。实证分析发现：①除日本多语言期刊《图书与情报》（LIS）之外,其他5本期刊论文零被引率的时间演化规律能够很好地被一个三参数负指数模型：P(X_t=0)=K+Ae^-^S^×^t拟合,拟合优度（R²）都达到96%以上;②除日本《图书与情报》（LIS）期刊外,其他5本期刊论文零被引率随引用时间窗口变大而形成一系列具有“开始下降较快,随后非常缓慢地下降,直至一个非常低且稳定的水平线”特征的凹形曲线;并且此5本期刊睡眠系数S区间值大小与它们的下降幅度区间值大小的方向一致,期刊的下降幅度越大,越易于较快达到一个稳定的、变化非常少的水平,从而导致一些未被引的文献在此后的长时间内处于睡眠状态;③6本期刊论文零被引率的年度变化规律显示,随着时代的发展,图书情报学领域期刊论文的传播与利用速度越来越快。除日本《图书与情报》（LIS）论文零被引率较高,且历年变化较小外,其他5本期刊论文零被引率,尽管历年变化较大,但总体呈现下降趋势。

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	胡泽文
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关键词 ：论文零被引率, 引用分布, 演变规律, 负指数模型, 期刊

收稿日期: 2017-07-05

基金资助:国家自然科学基金（71373252,71603128）; 江苏省自然科学基金（BK20160974）; 江苏高校品牌专业建设工程资助项目

作者简介: 胡泽文,男,1985年生,博士,讲师,主要研究方向为科学计量与科技评价;武夷山,男,1958年生,研究员,论文通讯作者,主要研究方向为科学计量学与科技评价,E-mail: wuyishan@istic.ac.cn;高继平,男,1983年生,博士,助理研究员,主要研究方向为科学计量与科技评价。

引用本文:

胡泽文, 武夷山, 高继平. 图书情报学领域期刊论文零被引率的演变规律研究[J]. 情报学报, 2018, 37(3): 243-253.
Hu Zewen, Wu Yishan, Gao Jiping. Study on Time-dependent Regularity of the Percentage of Never-cited Papers in Journals from Library and Information Science Discipline. 情报学报, 2018, 37(3): 243-253.

链接本文:

https://qbxb.istic.ac.cn/CN/10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2018.03.002 或 https://qbxb.istic.ac.cn/CN/Y2018/V37/I3/243

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