演绎逻辑与归纳逻辑视角下的颠覆性技术识别方法研究述评

doi:10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2022.09.008

情报学报

2022, Vol. 41

Issue (9): 980-990 DOI: 10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2022.09.008

情报综述与述评

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演绎逻辑与归纳逻辑视角下的颠覆性技术识别方法研究述评

周波^1,2, 冷伏海²

1.中国科学院大学，北京 100190
2.中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院，北京 100190

Review of Disruptive Technologies Identification Method Based on Deductive and Inductive Logic Perspectives

Zhou Bo^1,2, Leng Fuhai²

1.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190
2.Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190

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摘要在世界范围内技术竞争日趋激烈、技术发展日益复杂的趋势下，颠覆性技术识别受到国家和企业越来越多的重视。本文通过对国内外颠覆性技术识别方法的分析，发现颠覆性技术识别方法存在演绎逻辑与归纳逻辑两种不同的视角，并将识别方法在这两种视角下进行归类和述评，从研究前提、研究数据、研究结论严谨性、研究流程四个方面对两种视角进行比较，总结了两种视角下识别方法的优缺点，最后，对这两种视角下关于颠覆性技术识别方法的进一步研究进行了初步展望。本文希望通过比较两种视角下颠覆性技术识别方法的研究工作，为未来颠覆性技术识别方法的研究提供参考。

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	周波
	冷伏海

关键词 ：颠覆性技术识别, 归纳逻辑, 演绎逻辑

收稿日期: 2021-11-15

作者简介: 周波，男，1991年生，博士研究生，主要研究领域为科技情报、科技战略；冷伏海，男，1963年生，博士，研究员，主要研究领域为市场信息学、中小企业信息服务、科技战略与规划、学科发展战略情报研究，E-mail：lengfuhai@casisd.c；

引用本文:

周波, 冷伏海. 演绎逻辑与归纳逻辑视角下的颠覆性技术识别方法研究述评[J]. 情报学报, 2022, 41(9): 980-990.
Zhou Bo, Leng Fuhai. Review of Disruptive Technologies Identification Method Based on Deductive and Inductive Logic Perspectives. 情报学报, 2022, 41(9): 980-990.

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https://qbxb.istic.ac.cn/CN/10.3772/j.issn.1000-0135.2022.09.008 或 https://qbxb.istic.ac.cn/CN/Y2022/V41/I9/980

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